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volatility

Keltner Breakout

Buys when price breaks above the Keltner upper band (EMA plus ATR) and sells when it drops below the EMA.

Indicators:Keltner Channel

Entry Logic

Buy when the close crosses above the Keltner upper band (EMA 20 + 2×ATR 10).

Exit Logic

Sell when the close falls below the Keltner middle line (EMA 20).

How Rules Combine

Keltner bands are EMA-centered with ATR width, so a cross above the upper means price has pushed unusually far above its trend-adjusted average.

When It Works (Market Edge)

Volatility-adjusted trends: Keltner filters raw price with EMA while ATR adjusts for volatility, catching momentum with context.

When It Fails

Squeeze regimes: when ATR compresses, bands tighten and breakouts become noisy, similar to Bollinger whipsaws.

Common Myths

Myth: Keltner and Bollinger give the same signals.

Truth: Bollinger uses standard deviation (price variance), Keltner uses ATR (range). Keltner is less sensitive to outliers.

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5Y Rankings

Performance across major assets, sorted by return.

Period:
AssetTotal ReturnWin RateProfit FactorMax DrawdownAvg DurationTradesAction