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momentum

Stochastic Oversold Bounce

Mean-reversion using Stochastic: buys below 20 and sells above 80, fading extremes within a range.

Entry Logic

Buy when Stochastic %K(14,3,3) falls below 20 — price near the recent low.

Exit Logic

Sell when %K recovers above 80 — price near the recent high.

How Rules Combine

%K measures close relative to 14-day high-low range, smoothed by 3 days. Below 20 means the close is in the bottom fifth of the range.

When It Works (Market Edge)

Range-bound markets where price oscillates within a channel and extremes mean-revert reliably.

When It Fails

Strong trends: stochastic can stay below 20 in a crash or above 80 in a rally for weeks — same oversight as RSI.

Common Myths

Myth: Stochastic below 20 guarantees a bounce.

Truth: In a downtrend stochastic stays below 20 while price keeps falling. Oversold is a condition, not a reversal proof.

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5Y Rankings

Performance across major assets, sorted by return.

Period:
AssetTotal ReturnWin RateProfit FactorMax DrawdownAvg DurationTradesAction